
INED comes from his side publish a report in April 2008 whose title is: How dependents Will they in 2030? European projections.
This report written by Joel and the team Gaymu FELICIE * is a great source of information on the subject.
You will find below the introduction to this document:
aging population feared an increase in the number of people with disabilities and seniors who need help. How many will there people in this situation tomorrow? How will they live? Will they have a spouse or child who could take care of them? For the situation in Europe, a team of Researchers calculated population projections dependent elderly until 2030, distinguishing different family situations. Joƫlle Gaymu, who coordinated the team, gives us here the main results of the study.
Read report (PDF) by clicking HERE
* The research program FELICIE
FELICIE The research program aims to provide family contexts of tomorrow's elderly in a sample of nine European countries (Germany Belgium, Finland, France, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, Czech Republic and United Kingdom).
A first set of population projections was calculated distinguishing the marital status of individuals and their change over time and generations. These projections have been used then basis for calculating projections derived from two different scenarios of change in health status. In the first, the disability rate by age and marital status were held constant.
The second scenario assumes that all the years gained in life expectancy are healthy years. The rates of disability are declining in every age of about 20% by 2030. ... / ...
These projections do not include possible changes in bond between parents and children, desire for independence generations of residential, social norms or political guidance in support of dependence. Their goal is to show how changes in certain characteristics of seniors - in large part already included in the history of generations past - will transform their family background in both their structure and in their workforce ... / ...
More on the program website FELICIE
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